Columbia statistician/friend-of-Nate-Silver Andrew Gelman has resurfaced on everyone's new favorite blog, FiveThirtyEight.

Gelman uses FiveThirtyEight's data to conclude that if Obama wins Virginia and it's a close race in Indiana -- both of which are looking increasingly likely -- it's literally a statistical certainty that Obama will win the race. Additionally, this means that the election will be essentially be over by 7 PM or so.


Here is a Google Maps App that tells you where to go to cast your vote today. (If you're at school, it's probably Wien, despite Google's uncharacteristic misspelling.)

The app also includes reminders like "you must be registered" and whether or not your location offers early voting, which at this point is irrelevant, but still, we will remember this thing for 2010's election.

Oh, and check back later today for more election stuff, including a very scientific exit poll.


Because there's only one day a year and one candy medium that legitimate the claim that "heart" is a transitive verb, Bwog is celebrating candy hearts. With a poll! Here are the staff-selected finalists from the call for slogans we opened last week. Vote away!

Which is your favorite?

I LICKED THIS
YOU'LL DO
WORTH 3 CALORIES?
THIS IS ANTHRAX
TUPAC LIVES
LESS SEX. MORE WII.
ACTUALSIZEOFMYHEART.
NO, ITS NOT NORMAL
U AHMADINEHAD ME @ HELLO
THATS WHAT SHE SAID



View Results


Monday editor Armin Rosen has election news for those of you who haven't spent the past four days sleeping next to a Kentucky offramp.

I believe it was Winston Churchill who called democracy the "worst form of government on earth, except for all those others that have been tried." Well bollocks to you, Winnie. An election-eve barnstorm of our great land reveals that while mob rule does have some pretty obvious hang-ups ($8 packs of American Spirit, anyone?), it's capable of producing an oddity or two--correct me if I'm wrong, but I'm pretty sure Belarus doesn't have candidates drunkenly pillorying puppet likenesses of their opposition.

Going state-by-state:

CALIFORNIA: Jack Abramoff's work representing Indian tribes made him an American hero, and it's great to see that courageous activists are following in his footsteps. Besides--Casinos on Indian reservations mean more money for schools and firefighters. And you support schools and firefighters, don't you?

NEW JERSEY: Forget property taxes, rampant crime, pollution, a long-standing reputation as America's armpit: the biggest election-year issue coming out of the Garden State is this horrifying ad from Republican New Jersey state Senator Gerry Cardinale. Making possibly racist accusations that your opponent has ties to terrorists is one thing, but that sock puppet was really uncalled for. And if you'll allow me a brief exercise in comparative political puppetry: though crude, the Gavin Newsom puppet produced some undeniably brutal satire. Meanwhile, Cardinale's obnoxious, purple-coiffed duck smacks of desperation--I'm no expert on New Jersey politics, but just as a general rule, election-week TV ads centered on a raggedy yellow hand-puppet are good indication that you're running out of ideas.

MARYLAND: What's that? A contested election in the politically homogenous, left-wing utopia of Takoma Park? Well I'll be damned. This calls for an investigation! Bowers, it seems, is anti rent-control in a part of the country that's only slightly more conservative than Berkley; Robinson likes recycling, local business and urban microfinance. I trust the Co-op has been abuzz with discussion over whether the right-leaning newcomer can play the spoiler to the older, carbon-hating establishment lefty, but somehow I think Marylanders have more important things to worry about.



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